Monday, August 2, 2010

Monday 8/2/10 Market Update


The flat wave 2 count suggested in Friday's update has not changed. A continuation of today's rally should continue into the 1130s. The upper 1130s should stop the current rally if the count is correct. This is in line with the previous 1120-1140 target suggested earlier.


The gap higher and rally today are labeled best as a "3rd of a 3rd" wave of some degree. Given the expectation for an ending diagonal wave [c] of 2 in the larger context, the above labellings are the best estimate to describe recent market action.

A sideways correction of some kind should continue and will probably complete tomorrow. This correction will precede another move higher which will probably be wave [5] of a but may also be zigzag wave y of (v). The size of of the correction will help us determine to the correct count.

The larger view has not changed.

Errata
Wave (iv) labels provided in this chart yesterday were incorrect; the correct subminuette degree labellings are abc, not wxy.



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