Nate's Market Analysis: Thursday 12/22/11 Market Update

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Thursday 12/22/11 Market Update

There is no change to the count shown in yesterday's update. Wave (i) of [iii] appears to be winding down with the "3rd of a 3rd" wave of C still not underway.

The now large retracement of the choppy downward December waves is a bullish sign for the market.

For the reasons discussed yesterday and earlier, the count above appears to be the highest probability.

Note: The next update will be Monday in the evening.

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I am an analyst at http:/www.ewaveanalytics.com, an instructor for Elliott Wave International (EWI), a level 1 Certified Elliott Wave Analyst (CEWA), and a profitable e-mini futures trader. EWI interviewed me not long ago. Find that interview here.

My trading philosophy is 95% based on my own Elliott Wave analysis of the S&P 500. I try to keep my analysis and trading as simple as possible and do not use trend lines, channels, or definite retracement, price, or time targets. To me, inspecting the proportionality and symmetry of a market's price structure is the key to mastering the principle; it is through this that low-risk, high-reward trading opportunities are found.

Because they are the only things I look at when trading, the quality of the charts I post on this blog are very important to me. I think you will find my work to be the best Elliott Wave analysis of the S&P 500 on the internet.

Notation and Nomenclature

Grand Supercycle	[I] [II] [III] [IV] [V]	[a] [b] [c]
Supercycle	(I) (II) (III) (IV) (V)	(a) (b) (c)
Cycle	I II III IV V	a b c
Primary	[1] [2] [3] [4] [5]	[A] [B] [C]
Intermediate	(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)	(A) (B) (C)
Minor	1 2 3 4 5	A B C
Minute	[i] [ii] [iii] [iv] [v]	[a] [b] [c]
Minuette	(i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v)	(a) (b) (c)
Subminuette	i ii iii iv v	a b c
Micro	[1] [2] [3] [4] [5]	[A] [B] [C]
Submicro	(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)	(A) (B) (C)
Miniscule	1 2 3 4 5	A B C
Subminiscule	[i] [ii] [iii] [iv] [v]	[a] [b] [c]